Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 2090.894616 2278.726398 2470.524043 2680.732168 2904.347937 3134.831240 3390.056897
2024-10-27 1714.838973 1982.599355 2268.031892 2593.827526 2954.247527 3339.638032 3781.728147
2024-11-03 1576.397904 1901.094377 2257.892012 2676.730225 3152.524309 3673.834841 4285.749609
2024-11-10 1455.861304 1820.222454 2231.035726 2724.685789 3297.791225 3938.224149 4703.891064
2024-11-17 1330.655728 1720.116777 2169.708128 2721.492913 3374.638305 4117.308688 5019.531384
2024-11-24 1210.425640 1615.129596 2092.828255 2690.759682 3411.273970 4243.607403 5269.449761
2024-12-01 1135.879296 1559.115802 2068.619902 2717.426561 3511.405946 4441.113564 5601.093361
2024-12-08 1057.237044 1491.977246 2025.463041 2716.163123 3573.949940 4591.324904 5875.369865
2024-12-15 1011.640314 1463.248844 2026.897939 2767.300191 3698.617477 4815.432690 6238.888400
2024-12-22 939.803821 1395.700602 1975.049790 2747.786964 3732.821155 4927.620899 6465.959072
2024-12-29 908.815291 1379.992938 1987.856255 2808.953501 3867.169360 5162.761072 6844.627752
2025-01-05 862.166470 1340.185702 1966.702304 2824.208012 3941.919134 5323.502569 7132.087370
2025-01-12 814.024554 1296.636108 1939.622377 2831.650434 4007.847910 5475.880004 7413.921322
2025-01-19 733.448608 1203.225027 1841.523951 2741.372833 3944.096513 5462.327070 7486.385796
2025-01-26 721.563416 1207.158600 1875.574045 2827.841227 4111.912457 5744.734334 7935.328356
2025-02-02 698.240312 1192.906532 1883.289324 2877.848730 4231.447581 5965.899163 8308.161977
2025-02-09 659.217955 1153.176397 1853.335062 2874.519508 4278.665623 6093.066964 8560.941587
2025-02-16 614.069392 1101.671529 1804.285523 2842.471896 4285.365964 6166.189158 8743.466738
2025-02-23 589.975791 1081.119562 1798.619026 2870.279453 4372.869275 6345.543379 9065.068179
2025-03-02 559.052510 1048.177919 1773.343747 2868.962032 4419.542704 6470.605147 9316.193892
2025-03-09 545.217382 1041.603545 1786.436581 2922.279288 4541.906838 6697.265837 9702.737420
2025-03-16 512.489431 1002.724916 1749.601760 2901.935275 4560.558211 6784.421178 9904.923683
2025-03-23 503.472845 1002.239601 1770.477610 2965.701346 4697.565827 7031.984596 10322.138087